Bitcoin has a 30% chance of falling below $80,000 by late June, options data suggests
Event summary
coindesk published this macro event on 20 Jan 2026, 06:58 UTC. The archive associates it with BTC, ETH; the tables below report observed post-publication returns without asserting causality.
Historical market reactions
Price reactions
Reaction V2Historical percentage returns from the recorded publication timestamp. Missing values remain intentionally blank; these observations do not establish causality.
Related asset reactions
BTC
Reference 20 Jan 2026, 06:59 UTC · latency 0m
- 1m
- +0.06%
- 5m
- +0.15%
- 15m
- +0.20%
- 1h
- +0.35%
- 4h
- +0.45%
- 24h
- -1.36%
Source: Binance Vision official monthly 1m archive
ETH
Reference 20 Jan 2026, 06:59 UTC · latency 0m
- 1m
- +0.04%
- 5m
- +0.12%
- 15m
- +0.16%
- 1h
- +0.28%
- 4h
- -0.37%
- 24h
- -4.37%
Source: Binance Vision official monthly 1m archive
Broader market context
SOL
Reference 20 Jan 2026, 06:59 UTC · latency 0m
- 1m
- +0.08%
- 5m
- +0.24%
- 15m
- +0.29%
- 1h
- -0.40%
- 4h
- -1.67%
- 24h
- -2.23%
Source: Binance Vision official monthly 1m archive
Methodology
Reaction V2 uses the current documented publication-time methodology. Alternative research alignments are not displayed as production data.
- Primary asset
- ETH
- Sentiment score
- -0.10
- Value unit
- Percentage return
- Reaction version
- Reaction V2
- Publication date
- 20 Jan 2026, 06:58 UTC
- Source
- coindesk
- Related assets
- BTC, ETH
- Data availability
- Missing horizons remain blank